• How Did Donald Trump Win?

    November 9, 2016

    Tags: , ,
    Posted in: #99Percent, Democracy, Economy, Post-Constitution America

    unemployment

    It’s not about left and right anymore, not about Black and White. It is all about up and down. And it elected Donald Trump via a bumpy road. The next candidate to really figure it out will sweep into power.


    And what it is is stated succiently by former McCain campaign chief strategist Steve Schmidt: jobs, specifically the loss of jobs to technology and globalization, and the changes to our society that that is causing.

    The defining issue of our times, says Schmidt, is the displacement of workers, particularly those who traditionally held working class roles. America is watching a leveling down unprecedented in its history, a form of societal and economic devolution.

    “I think that’s going to be the new fault line in American politics,” Schmidt said. “And the voters, the Bernie Sanders voter and the Trump voter — like fish netting, the fish can swing through the netting from left to right very, very easily.”

    Schmidt focuses on Silicon Valley. “Let’s look at the Silicon Valley wing of the Democratic party and be clear about the partisan nature of all of these companies. We have these arguments about minimum wage — $12, $15. We’re 18 months away in this country from a robot in the window at the McDonald’s handing you your cheeseburger.”

    “The number one job for not-college educated men in America is driving something somewhere. So when we talk about an era now of driverless trucks, driverless cars, where do those jobs go? Where’s that displacement?” Schmidt continued.

    In essence, the growing irrelevance of American workers.

    What started with the globalization of the 1980s, the literal export of jobs to places abroad chasing cheaper labor, is transitioning into its next phase, the “export” of jobs into the hands of automation. Traditional employment once considered secure (albeit low paying) that cannot be physically exported because it needs to happen at a specific geographic location, such as with service tasks, is doomed as sure as those jobs that used to be done by steelworkers in Ohio but now are performed in Shenyang.

    Of course someone reading this will be mumbling something about to hell with those workers, let them get an education, retrain, whatever Darwinian crossed with dystopian curse they can conjure. The problem is long after you take away the jobs the people are still going to be there.

    And while no one in Washington really cares about what happens to those workers per se, as long as they can vote they will matter to politicians.

    It takes a special kind of demagogue, one with even more cynicism than usual, to fully exploit those workers’ literal fears for their lives, but s/he will emerge. Think of Trump as version 1.0, a kind of beta test. Trump likely never knew what he had within grasp, and spoke to this displaced group largely cluelessly and without the sophistication of a proper strategy.

    But the next Trump will have the “advantage” of another four years of economic displacement, a slicker media profile undistracted by Trump’s crude buffoonery, as well as advisors like McCain campaign chief strategist Steve Schmidt, whispering lines in his or her ear that sound like bastardized versions of Springsteen lyrics. The hate mongering, racism, and name calling will be toned down for wider appeal.

    Now there’s something to be afraid of.



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    Copyright © 2017. All rights reserved. The views expressed here are solely those of the author(s) in their private capacity. Follow me on Twitter!

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  • Recent Comments

    • John Poole said...

      1

      The elites- Obama, Clinton don’t nor did they ever care about regular folk. We read of meth and opioid addiction and to me it isn’t about “partying” like 80s and 90s cocaine binges. These are completely broken people with little hope of the productive life.
      We’ll see what Trump has planned for these dispirited people. He might have more compassion than Hillary could ever muster from her dark soul.

      11/9/16 8:46 AM | Comment Link

    • teri said...

      2

      I just wrote a similar post on my blog. And I maintain Trump’s victory is thanks to the Democrats.

      On a positive note, I did hear Trump’s victory speech live. He was actually very gracious (someone must have written it for him), and very inclusive of “all Americans”. He has the erroneous idea that Congress will allocate any funds for infrastructure or jobs, both of which he promised in the speech (silly man, he seems to think those shitheads in the House and Senate give a flying fuck about the US), but he made pointed remarks about getting along with the rest of the planet and not creating enemies.

      So there is that.

      11/9/16 8:56 AM | Comment Link

    • bloodypitchfork said...

      3

      Jobs are for robots, silly. Humans have no right to them. gee, even a caveman knows that.

      Seen on a billboard for General Motors in 2018.

      Meanwhile, at my age, jobs aren’t a priority for myself. But what amazes me is.. when every job on the entire planet has finally been replaced by robots.. who’s gonna buy the products, when no one has any money except the .01%?

      However, at the moment, now I know what the Italian population must have felt when Mussolini rose to power, notwithstanding Jews in Germany in 1939. Moreover, now that the power in the US is a one party government(Senate/House/Executive) you can bet your sweet bippy, Social Security is on the extinction list. But I’ve got a gut feeling, one day will come, all those people who voted for Trump, are going to start feeling some regret..especially when most of these rural people are most likely on social programs that will disappear into thin air. That’s the day #WE TOLD YOU SO will go viral on Twitter.

      11/9/16 9:27 AM | Comment Link

    • Mitch said...

      4

      Teri and Pitchfork,

      Absolutely agreed.

      But……. What would have happened if Hillary had won?

      No matter what happens from here, trump has shown that the system is completely broken.

      Maybe, just maybe…. He will get term limits…. That alone would do miracles for this nation.

      M

      11/9/16 10:40 AM | Comment Link

    • Mitch said...

      5

      PS.

      I have no tolerance for bullies… Seen to many…. But… I would cut some slack if that is what it took to get term limits.

      As long as he’s not bullying me ….of course.

      M

      11/9/16 10:42 AM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      6

      Obama said that a Trump presidency would be a rebuke of Obama’s “legacy”, Well consider yourself thoroughly rebucked you smug weak male. But Obama will do fine. I don’t see him hanging around DC as he planned with Hillary in the White House. He has the funds to buy a lovely ranchette in Hawaii to write his memories. Good riddance.

      11/9/16 11:40 AM | Comment Link

    • Mitch said...

      7

      John Poole,

      Owe you lunch.

      M

      11/9/16 11:47 AM | Comment Link

    • teri said...

      8

      What would have happened if Clinton won? The same damn thing that will happen under Trump, only maybe a little slower. Both parties want to end SS, medicare, etc. just to support the Pentagon. And the country would still be divided racially – that’s how they wanted it, so people wouldn’t be pissed at the rich fuckers who are stealing it all.

      And with Clinton, we’d maybe have a war with Russia as a cherry on top.

      11/9/16 12:49 PM | Comment Link

    • b. traven said...

      9

      FOLLOW THE YELLOW BRICK ROAD FROM 9/11 TO 11/7

      We’ve been had! We’ve let fear of the ‘other’ after 9/11 allow the 1%ers and the their political lackeys, in one generation, to take away our free press, our right to privacy, our freedom of expression (whistleblowers), and our obligation to vote for a legitimate candidate to represent us. In this election we had two very flawed candidates as a choice and we chose the most flawed to represent us and our country. There will be a very heavy blowback from this.

      In my opinion, Europe will reconsider any leadership offered by the selected president elect. This will impact both the EU and NATO. The ‘president elect’ has offered no thought out foreign policy and has shown evidence in his campaign that his policies are vaporous and subject to change if it suits his whim. The “deal” is what drives his policies but internationally that will not fly with established nation states. He will not be dealing with local bankers who can be bullied.

      Both of our political parties showed their true colors by embracing such miscreant candidates. The effect has been that the legitimacy of both parties can be questioned. In addition we have now gone through two elections ( Gore vs. Bush) in which the party who won the popular vote has lost the election because of the dysfunctional ‘electoral college’ voting system.

      I just received a short e-mail from a friend in Europe who said in response to our election “ I am astounded!”. I was in France when the Supreme Court appointed George (dubya) Bush president and people would come up to us and ask “ How could anyone vote for such a person”.

      We are in deep trouble at a time when the world needs more than a “dealmaker” to represent the United States.

      11/9/16 1:11 PM | Comment Link

    • Bruce said...

      10

      “In this country, the opposite of poverty is not wealth… in America, the opposite of poverty is justice.” For BushC0Billary, we shall see.

      11/9/16 1:13 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      11

      Hillary’s inner circle said she gave a “classy” concession speech. Hillary has no class whatsoever except via her association with the ruling class.

      11/9/16 1:45 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      12

      Teri- most likely the Pentagon and its plan to rule the world is safe in any POTUS’s hands. Trump will buckle under whereas Hillary would strap on her dildo and lead the beribboned brass gangsters into battle (from a monitor of course)

      11/9/16 1:52 PM | Comment Link

    • b. traven said...

      13

      It was just a list of the bromides she used in losing her campaign.

      11/9/16 1:54 PM | Comment Link

    • teri said...

      14

      John,
      During Clinton’s concession speech, which I also heard live, she had the nerve to blather on about how the US “treats everyone equally under the law”, about how “the Constitution” and “rule of law” guides us all and makes us such a great country.

      Much to my surprise, a bolt of lightening did not come down from the heavens and strike her dead.

      11/9/16 2:48 PM | Comment Link

    • How Can You said...

      15

      How can you cite the guy who not so long ago said this as some touchstone of political credibility:

      “The campaign is over,” said Steve Schmidt, a Trump critic and former senior strategist on George W. Bush’s and John McCain’s presidential campaigns.

      Calling a refusal to accept the election results “disqualifying,” Schmidt added: “The question is, how close will Clinton get to 400 electoral votes? She’ll be north of 350, and she’s trending towards 400 — and the trend line is taking place in very red states like Georgia, Texas and Arizona.”

      You act like this guy is some sophisticated guru or Nostrodamus….Come on.

      11/9/16 3:26 PM | Comment Link

    • jo6pac said...

      16

      11/9/16 5:30 PM | Comment Link

    • chuck said...

      17

      Imagine…Trump crushes two dynasty’s (Bush and Clinton). Will he paint the White house gold?

      11/9/16 6:15 PM | Comment Link

    • chuck said...

      18

      Trump liked Wikileaks. Will he stop U.S. pressure against Assange? Jan. 21st call the White house. Julian must have loved watching Podesta at the Clinton gala telling the lemmings to go home. TY Assange.

      11/9/16 7:39 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      19

      Laughable! The same pundits and journalists who said Trump would never be POTUS are now predicting in all the discredidted MSM sources what Trump will do once he is in office. Their allegiance and sucking up to the ruling elite garnered them journalist superstar status and huge paychecks. They remain just as clueless in their verified debunking.

      11/9/16 8:19 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      20

      Bernie Sanders proved himself to be a phony. He now says he wants to work with Trump. Sanders hypocrisy in campaigning for Hillary will be his legacy. He is nothing more than a joke now- all talk and no real conviction.

      11/9/16 8:24 PM | Comment Link

    • tsb said...

      21

      This blog post made sense. But among the commenters, there seems little acknowledgment of the leftist critique it offered. Instead, there is extreme vitriol towards Obama/Clinton and Sanders. This post is saying that some form of social protest/political movement will be necessary to remove the corrupt pro-.01 percenters from power. It is saying that our current understand of partisan politics applies less and less to our reality. To this commenters offer: “Obama is a weak male, please flee to Hawaii!” Pure partisan catharsis. There is a disconnect between the meaning of the post and the response. Why?

      11/12/16 12:51 PM | Comment Link

    • rich bauer said...

      22

      Focusing on the next Trump is shortsighted. We have been blind to the fact the presidense does not pull the levers of power. Despite all the change talk, Obama was jerking our chains. Trump is jerking off his supporters already.

      11/14/16 8:15 PM | Comment Link

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