The Democrats only possible path forward is to ensure Trump does not run in 2024. They want to lock him in jail.
With only three years left to go, the 2024 race is narrowing quickly to Trump versus Some Democrat. By election day President Biden will be a vaguely sentient 82, VP Harris likely will have left the country, and the Dem’s rainbow coalition of identity claimants will quickly winnow itself down to nobody as their collective lack of experience devalues their various claims of victimhood. What to do about Trump?
You can convince a group of Americans for awhile Trump is a Russian agent, or violated an Emoluments Clause thingie they never heard of, just by saying it over and over. The problem is once the accusation reaches the judicial system, the Maddow-Goebbels Gambit withers. Once in the courts, words like “fraud” have very specific meanings. Treason, and anything that brushes against free speech such as incitement, have long trails of precedence. Even for something as basic as the Kyle Rittenhouse self-defense case, any first year law student will tell you there are five elements that need to be met. If the jury agrees they were met, the defendant walks, whether BL really M or not. The rule of law means those tests apply no matter how certain the public is that Rittenhouse is a murdering white supremacist. Or Trump an immoral misogynist. Of course what the Dems really want is a law making “being Trump” illegal. But in America those things are still weighed by elections.
Everyone is familiar with the litany of such failures to turn belief into crime over the last four years — Emoluments Clause, Russiagate, impeachments I and II, Stormy Daniels, obstruction of justice, and incitement. On the sidelines were extra-judicial attempts connected with the 25th Amendment, having doctors who never examined the man declaring Trump mentally ill, and even accusations of incest. The Southern District of New York previously failed to indict Trump’s children and failed to prosecute Paul Manafort. E. Jean Carroll’s rape-cum-defamation case was so egregiously lousy even the Biden DOJ took Trump’s side.
One of the latest rumored prosecutions-to-come involves Trump under-valuing properties for tax reasons, then over-valuing them to get loans, which despite the banks involved being happy enough with the terms after their own due diligence, Dems think maybe could be some kind of fraud. This kind of property valuation switch is practically New York City’s official sport, and is often and well-played by many property owners a few billion dollars short of Trump. The regulations governing how one values a NY property are thick. Built into the law is an automatic fudge allowing the same property to have both a high market value and a lower asset value. Problems are sorted out as civil matters and usually settled with the city sending out a bill, especially if the bank is not claiming fraud, only the DA, as in Trump’s case. “New York’s property tax system,” wrote Bloomberg, “is demonstrably inaccurate and unfair.” Michael Cohen, recently in prison for being a liar, is trying for another round in the spotlight claiming he has the evidence. To think the Dems will ignite righteous anger among voters with something this dense is quite funny.
All the smoking guns fired blanks. Behind every attempt to overturn the election was a certainty by the zealots that Trump must be guilty of something. Yet it all failed. Trump served out his term. He is not in jail. But “just you wait!” remains an ever-weaker rallying cry heard by ever-fewer diehards.
Like bad poker players, the Dems have all too obviously tipped their hand on their 2024 strategy. The full-court press will, sadly, focus on January 6, an out-of-hand riot wished into a second life as a coup, an insurrection, or an overthrow attempt. The characterization is silly; among other things, a coup must have some path towards success, in this case, preventing Joe Biden from becoming president. The rioters at best might have delayed the largely ceremonial counting of the Electoral College votes until the next day. They didn’t even get that done.
As before, the truth is of little importance. The Daily Beast is one of many outlets claiming “If Merrick Garland Doesn’t Charge Trump and His Coup Plotters, Our Democracy Is Toast.” The article does not mention any specific, chargeable crime Trump is to be charged with, though it mentions the words coup and abuse of power a lot. Like all of its lot, it does not address the gaping question of why the actual Capitol rioters have only been charged with things like trespassing, and not treason or sedition. Surely as what one journalist called the armed wing of the Republican Party (comparing them to the IRA and Sinn Fein) some of the January 6 cosplayers should by now be charged with something serious enough to warrant fears the Republic itself hangs by a thread.
Since the Democrats have no viable 2024 candidate, and since Trump’s support remains high, the only way to defeat him is by some non-electoral process just short of Dealey Plaza. Political prosecutions are not new in America. Political pogroms are. There has never in our history been a more sustained yet unsuccessful judicial effort to oust or destroy one man.
The Democrats, so used to failing at this, are also not looking at the secondary effects of their dirty work, specifically wearing out the public they seek to influence against Trump. After four years of faux scandals being spiked into the public’s veins, how many more times can they try the same game before voters simply stop listening? Meanwhile, every shot at Trump that misses only increases support among his own followers as the candidate brags about beating the charges again. When non-supporters begin to ask themselves if indeed Trump is right when he claims persecution, the Dems have already lost.
Copyright © 2020. All rights reserved. The views expressed here are solely those of the author(s) in their private capacity.
Rich Bauer said...
1Don’t overlook the “viral” campaign to kill the Trump voter, as 90 percent of the dying are unvaxxed In Trump states. The guy has already lost the pop vote twice by millions. The guy should be charged with mass murder.
12/9/21 4:09 AM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
2Misinformation from FoX News and other propaganda outlets appears to be a major factor in the lagging vaccination rates. The Kaiser Family Foundation’s polling shows Republicans who get their news from these discredited outlets are far more likely to believe false statements about COVID-19 and vaccines. A full 94% of Republicans think one or more false statements about COVID-19 and vaccines might be true, and 46% believe four or more statements might be true. By contrast, only 14% of Democrats believe four or more false statements about the disease.
Beware the Wolf and Russian Bear but it is the FOX on your tv that can kill you.
12/9/21 4:18 AM | Comment Link
John Poole said...
3Maybe only an Independent will bravely step forward fo face a possible Trump run in 2024. They’d have to be scandal free, resolute and with no former party affiliation.
12/9/21 10:05 AM | Comment Link
John Poole said...
4Maybe 2024 will be a time for a completely unvetted and unknown Independent to run in 2024. I would vote for them. Sadly both parties would contest any possible win of an Independent and we’d end up with POTUS gridlock for years. What we have today is no longer valid. That has been clear maybe going back to the late 60s. That doesn’t of course mean Americans can self correct in an intelligent way.
12/9/21 2:48 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
5Actually Mark Meadows grand powerpoint doc Election Fraud tipped Trump’s hand…really tiny and really powerless:
The federalized National Guard in each state will be supplied detailed processes and be responsible for counting each legitimate paper ballot. Teams made up of three (first couple counties will be five) National Guard members will do the counting. As the counting occurs each ballot will be imaged and the images placed on the Internet so any US citizen can view them and count the ballots themselves. The process will be completely transparent.
12/9/21 3:59 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
6Sad to hear the ungrateful virus took one of its greatest proponents in Michigan, who went to his early grave wondering why the “ouchie (idiot talk for lifesaving vaccination) needed bribes.”
12/10/21 8:32 AM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
7The Democrats only possible path forward is to ensure Trump does run in 2024.
Imagine all the damage the Orange Clown can inflict on Repug chances, as Virginia demonstrated the Repug candidate told the Orange Clown to keep his virus act away from him.
So Shiffty and the rest would do well to keep the Orange Clown out of jail.
12/11/21 10:41 AM | Comment Link
John Poole said...
8We’re in a fine mess today to quote Oliver Hardy.
The news media is part of the entertainment industry and tasked with the same goal of film studio publicists. The press maybe never had the freedom to be independent from commerce. It certainly has no freedom to report without advocating. “”Informing is just another word for promoting.” Was that a Kris Kristofferson lyric?
“All the paid for content we can engender” should be the NYTimes new motto.
12/11/21 11:54 AM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
9JP,
You suffer from old-timers disease like Peter in misremembering today is vastly different from the Past. Yellow journalism wasn’t created by Rupert. If you want Objectivism read Ayn Rand, who was just another hypocrite. If you are easily deceived, that is on you. If you went to Public Schools in Russia, you know personally most students are borderline idiots. They grow up to be ignorant and proud. The US is just a more severe case. Blaming the Dems or the Repugs is easy. These parties are getting rich off you…you know, morons.
12/12/21 5:09 PM | Comment Link
John Poole said...
10Bauer- Everyone has an agenda. Everyone is opinionated, Everyone is just self promoting. That observation has been documented for thousands of years. Most of us hope that perhaps the times we have experienced have been unique or different. It is a harmless delusion.
12/13/21 9:55 AM | Comment Link