• Open Letter to Democrats About Facing Reality

    March 20, 2024

    Posted in: Democracy

    Speaking as a friend now, Democrats, it is time to face reality. Your candidate is going to have to beat Donald Trump at the polls in November fair and square. You impeached our guy twice without lasting affect. None of the banana republic tricks and lawfare have worked. There was a real Republican primary which Trump won majorly. The guy is not made of Teflon or anything special like that; your efforts are just lame and ineffectual. Time to slap some cold water on your faces and face the music. It is Biden vs. Trump. The voters will decide.

    The battle to destroy Trump rather than beat him and accept his victory started w-a-y back in his first term. There was the initial rush to create some sort of rogue electors and deny the 2016 election (sound familiar?) Then there was the Emoluments Clause, which was going to take down Trump for owning hotels that had foreign guests. Lest we forget the uber-play, Russiagate, a wholly-false effort to link Trump to Russian intelligence using made-up witnesses and a fake dossier. That one could have escaped the lab, as we learn now the Trump campaign was subject to a full-court press by the Five Eyes intelligence services, who if they could not find dope on Trump, were going to create it with false flag operatives. Along the way there were various impeachments that depended on Democratic control of the House to rig the game (both failing in the Senate.) Each of these failures to weaken Trump or drive him from office was met with Democratic tears, that somehow he again escaped a carefully laid snare.

    After Trump left office the real games began, centered on the state of New York which decided it would speak for the other 49 in trying to drive Trump out of business, into bankruptcy, and otherwise prevent him from becoming president again. Things began with the Jean Carroll defamation case, in which the last remnants of the #MeToo movement were repurposed to have a court agree that Trump committed a sexual assault decades ago, so far back that the victim could not remember the year it occurred, never mind the date, with no eye witnesses and no physical evidence presented. Nonetheless, an $83 million civil defamation judgment arising out of the alleged attack was rendered against Trump.

    The next shot ended up with a judgement five times that size, over claims that for decades under the eyes of New York regulators and tax inspectors Trump exaggerated his net worth and the worth of his properties to get better loan and insurance terms. Never mind that the state proved no harm was done, and that the creditors claimed no harm was done and indeed they profited from the loans, a conviction was possible so a conviction was made. Poison pills were embedded in that decision, making it impossible for Trump to seek an appeal without providing a multi-million dollar bond first. The interest alone on the fine runs $100,000 a day. New York might as well have revived debtor’s prison.

    No matter the final amounts likely reduced on appeal in both cases, neither will prevent Trump from running for president and polls show no affect on his popularity. They thus failed as much beyond harassment.

    New York has one last round to expend, a Wonka-like criminal trial claiming Trump “falsified business records” in his paying adult star Stormy Daniels to remain silent on their minutes-long affair. This one is so weak Michael Cohen, convicted felon and certified liar, is the star witness. This one is so weak even the New York DA Alvin Bragg may agree to put it off until after the November election. A local jury could find Trump guilty of something, but the most exciting outcome of the trial will be to see who SNL gets to play Stormy.

    Outside of New York, a quick one was next, an attempt to remove Trump from the ballot in multiple states based on a fantasy reading of the 14th Amendment, Section 3, and an arbitrary judgement by the Democratic Secretary of State in Blue Colorado and a traffic court judge in Illinois that Trump committed “insurrection” on January 6. Never mind the impeachment for insurrection found him not guilty, and that the case against him pending for his actions on January 6 (below) does not charge insurrection. In a unanimous decison (so much for court packing) the Supreme Court made short work of all that and Trump will remain on the ballot in all 50 states so that the people may vote him up or down. See a pattern here yet Democrats?

    In Georgia, everyone is waiting for a judge to remove prosecutor Fani Willis from the case on the basis of misconduct because of her affair with one of the hired gun co-prosecutors she bought to go after Trump. If Willis is removed, the entire case is likely to collapse. While that is playing out in lascivious slow motion, the underlying case itself  has been hopelessly delayed, and even before the recent mess, Willis herself predicted it would take until early 2025 to decide. Byron York wrote “to call the case troubled would be a great understatement.”

    That leaves the classified documents case and Jack Smith’s something something Orange Man gotta be Bad Man January 6 case.

    The classified documents case faces an uphill battle, as the defense is sure to raise the question of how classified documents at the homes of Mike Pence and Joe Biden himself did not bring on prosecutions while Trump is in a multi-year struggle and had his home dramatically raided by the FBI. It is a complicated case, involving presidential privilege and the rabbit hole of what is classified and how a document is unclassified. These complexities work to Trump’s advantage, most likely postponing the trial until well after November 5 when it really does not matter much anymore one way or another.

    That pretty much is the story for the mother of them all, the January 6 case. There is a slim chance the Supreme Court will decide in favor (a ruling is expected in June) of Trump having presidential immunity for his actions on that day, and a greater chance the Court’s process will drag on such that the trial will not be ready to hear until smack in the middle of the actual election season. The Justice Department has its own internal rule barring prosecutors from “selecting the timing of any action… for the purpose of affecting any election,” suggesting it too will pend until after November. Again, if Trump wins the election all the wind leaves the sails of this case, and if Trump loses to Biden, no one will care about January 6 anymore anyway.

    So Democratic friends, where does that leave you?

    Nothing on the legal horizon will prevent Trump from being the Republican nominee. Nothing even in worst case scenarios will leave him ineligible to serve as president. Polls consistently show these legal issues do little to reduce his popularity and in some cases appear to enhance it. Polls show Trump can win from inside a jail cell. You are wasting enormous amounts of time and effort on a strategy that is not likely to work and holds the possibility of actually working against you and helping Trump with the only thing that really matters in any of this, November 5.

    Americans appear to be turned off watching “people in positions of great power and responsibility, in the midst of a campaign, would use the justice system to ‘curb’ one of the two major presidential candidates. They might find it outrageous that those people, a coalition of elected Democrats, Biden administration appointees, Democratic Party activists, and career lawfare specialists, are in fact desperately pushing the system to work faster to win verdicts by Election Day.”

    Your strategy is backfiring. No American election has featured this much meddling by the judicial system, and this much naked partisanship by the Justice Department and its proxy the state of New York. It does not sit well with the American sense of fair play. You blew it. You threw it all against the wall and nothing stuck.

    Meanwhile, the Republican primary with its Democratic Great Hopes like Nikki Haley, failed to move the dial on Trump. Sitting in first place, he refused to be drawn in to being a punching bag during televised debates with his opponents, and instead one-by-one put them down, solidifying his position as the titular nominee as early as Super Tuesday. No one from the right is going to save you, Dems.

    You’re just going to have to win or lose this one the old fashioned way.

    Coming to the same conclusion from a very different angle is the New York Times, which editorializes Trump must be found guilty — of something — to convince Americans as the last line of defense to vote as if democracy is at death’s door. Slate writes “it’s clear that if anyone is going to save American democracy, it is going to be the voters… It deludes us into thinking that someone else is going to rush in while we watch and cheer from the stands… We need to stop deluding ourselves that a majority of the Supreme Court sees the same political emergency that many of us do in terms of the threat Trump poses to American democracy.”

    Yeah, well, never mind that last bit of editorializing, it’s just the MSM at work. And by the way, nobody outside the Democratic inner circle and Rachel Maddow believes democracy is going to end in November. The bottom line is you Democrats still have a chance to make this race about something other than Orange Man Guilty and the Two Minutes of Hate. You start from a position of handicap, with a candidate as weak as Joe Biden, but as then-Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said, you go to war with the army you have, not the one you want. Let the election happen; give democracy a chance.

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    Copyright © 2020. All rights reserved. The views expressed here are solely those of the author(s) in their private capacity.

  • Recent Comments

    • Rich Bauer said...

      1

      Speaking as a friend now, Peter, it is time to face reality. Your candidate Donald Trump is just a Deep State plant whose mission has been to divide the country so it doesn’t realize the rich are fleecing US. Cut more taxes on the rich. Cut programs for the poor. While Trump talks about reducing NATO funding, he is all for more spending on “defense.” While Trump talks about cutting spending on Ukraine as a favor for the guy who is blackmailing him with his sex tapes, he has been in favor for the unfunded illegal wars in Iraq, Afghanistan that he was against after he was for them.

      Give democracy a chance ? You have as much chance playing Three Card Monte. As for Trump, he will be the useful idiot for DS until he isn’t.

      03/20/24 8:59 AM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      2

      Trump’s supporters will fulfill their patriotic duty and give democracy another chance even though they may feel the 2000 election results were rigged. It might be Biden’s supporters who will give up on Democracy in 2024 if they lose. The MAGA types believe that the ultra rich have earned their right to have an outsized influence on how the US government operates. Democrats have never been as honest in admitting they hold the same ethos.

      03/20/24 9:29 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      3

      Bauer- it isn’t news that the ultra rich will always find a way to get their way by infiltrating any governing body. Maybe in other galaxies it is different but certainly not on this small orb. Even in our skimmed milk galaxy there is a small dab of whipped cream at the center.

      03/21/24 10:16 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      4

      JP,

      If you want to give democracy a chance, then limit the number of years a professional politician can serve in office, you know, like Russia.

      03/21/24 1:32 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      5

      Bauer-we’re turning PVB/s blog into a house of snark but maybe that is unavoidable.

      03/22/24 9:02 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      6

      JP,

      The oligarchs destroying this country have more in common with the oligarchs destroying Russia than the rest of US.

      03/22/24 1:44 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      7

      Open letter to the guy who gets paid to gaslight reality

      Peter’s pandering to the Trump Brainwashed Cult can be easily attributed to making a buck on Am Conjob, while leaving his conscience at the door. If he had a conscience, he would have given the big bucks he made in Iraq and his book to the Iraqi orphans fund. His pandering cannot be attributed to brainwashing. The guy is not an ignorant racist, like the majority who attend a Trump rally. These clowns can’t helps theirselves. If he had a conscience he would write an open letter to the GOP that it needs to dump Trump as a moral degenerate. And please don’t mention the moral degenerate Rumsfeld again. He makes Trump look like a saint in comparison.

      03/23/24 12:12 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      8

      Bauer: I have no gambling prediction about the 2024 POTUS election except that we’ll have to adapt to the results.

      03/25/24 6:21 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      9

      JP,

      You know the House always wins. The people always lose. The election wasn’t rigged, but the whole political system is.

      03/26/24 9:56 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      10

      “Your candidate is going to have to beat Donald Trump at the polls in November fair and square. Let the voters decide.”

      Don’t know if you been following the news way out there in the Pacific, but Trump has already claimed the 2024 election has been rigged by the Deep State. Of course, there is no proof of this…so it must be true.

      03/27/24 4:10 PM | Comment Link

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