• So Much for Lawfare? Trump Found Guilty and So What

    June 5, 2024

    Tags: , , , ,
    Posted in: Biden, Democracy, Trump

    A New York jury convicted Donald Trump of 34 counts of falsifying business records in connection with buying the silence of a porn star. He is the first American president to become a felon. The verdict is not unexpected from the deep blue Democratic enclave of Manhattan; the larger question is if lawfare will defeat Trump on November 5.

    The jury found Trump faked records (hiding hush payments as “legal expenses”) to conceal the purpose of money given to the onetime attorney Michael Cohen. Trump was actually reimbursing Cohen for a $130,000 hush-money deal struck with porn star Stormy Daniels, to silence her account of an affair with Trump. The affair was in 2006, a decade before Trump was elected president. The falsification of business records took place in 2017, after Trump was already in the White House and thus could not have influenced the election. He was found guilty nonetheless.

    For the jury to reach its unanimous decision of guilt on all 34 charges, the key was believing two witnesses over Trump.

    There are only two people on earth who know if an affair actually took place between Stormy and Trump. Trump said no, Stormy said yes and the jury agreed with her, fully absent of any further actual evidence. Daniels benefitted greatly from her claims to having the affair, and violated a nondisclosure agreement she voluntarily signed and accepted money for, to achieve her goals. “Proving” the affair was the base upon which the rest of the case to find Trump guilty was made.

    It is important to understand that having an affair and paying off someone to remain quiet about it are not crimes, even for a presidential candidate. Nonetheless, the prosecutor claimed in closing arguments Trump “hoodwinked the American voter” with a conspiracy to influence the 2016 election. In addition to those who may have benefitted from the plan, “all roads lead to the man who benefited the most: Donald Trump,” Joshua Steinglass told the jury.

    But the witness whose testimony was fully believed by the jury, and whose testimony will see Trump receive a criminal penalty when he is sentenced on July 11 (four days before the Republican National Convention!) is Michael Cohen. In the total absence of physical evidence and in the face of Trump’s claims to the contrary, Cohen served as connective tissue for many disparate elements. It was Cohen who claimed Trump masterminded the plan to hide the payments to Stormy. It was Cohen who said the 34 checks and invoices, only nine of which were signed by Trump himself, were not for legal expenses as they were labeled but were to reimburse Cohen for paying off Stormy. Stormy’s name appeared on none of the 34 documents, a fact which instead of exonerating Trump became under Michael Cohen’s testimony the linchpin of the conspiracy to falsify business records. Todd Blanche, a lawyer for Trump, told jurors the case hinged on the testimony of Michael Cohen, whom he called “the greatest liar of all time.”

    Nearly incredibly (Trump’s defense team called Cohen a “walking reasonable doubt”) the jury believed Cohen based on nothing but his good word. This is despite Cohen having gone to jail for perjury, been caught lying to Congress, being disbarred, and actually telling a lie during his testimony at the instant trial. It remains difficult to understand how a jury could objectively grant so much credence to Cohen in the face of his record of lying to his own advantage. Every critical element of the case came down to whether his word could be trusted. That is what convicted Trump. You might have thought Robert De Niro was leading the deliberations.

    There’s more. For jurors to have found Trump guilty of all 34 counts, they must have concluded beyond a reasonable doubt not only that Trump falsified or caused the falsification of business records “with intent to defraud” but also that he did so with the intent to commit or conceal another crime. That second element — the intent to commit or conceal another crime — elevates the charges to felonies and got around the statue of limitations that usually governs misdemeanors such as false business records. To reach this conclusion the jury had to also believe Cohen that Trump’s primary intent in all this was election influence and not, as Trump claimed, to hide the affair from his family.

    There are many questions surrounding the jury’s verdict, and the fact pattern of the case itself, all of which should come out in Trump’s inevitable appeal. With that in mind, the actual legal conclusion of this case is far into the future, almost certainly after the November 5 election. But that begs the more important question: does any of this matter to voters? This is lawfare, not justice, after all. “The real verdict is going to be November 5, by the people,” said Trump.

    CNN, for example, concluded “Donald Trump, who built a mystique as the brash epitome of power, has never been more powerless to dictate his own fate. His reputation, future, and even perhaps the White House’s destiny, [was] placed in the hands of 12 citizens of his native New York City, proving that not even once-and-possibly future commanders in chief are above the law.”

    So a victory for Democratic lawfare? Maybe not. Trump remains eligible to campaign for the presidency and serve if elected. None of the other lawfare shots is likely to conclude before November.

    So does it matter? A majority of registered voters said a guilty verdict in Trump’s trial would make no difference in their vote in the 2024 presidential election. Across all registered voters, 67 percent said a guilty verdict would have no effect on their vote, while 17 percent say they would be less likely to vote for him and 15 percent say they would be more likely, according to the NPR/PBS News Hour/Marist poll released before the verdict. An ABC News poll earlier this month showed 80 percent of Trump’s supporters say they would stick with him even if he’s convicted of a felony in this case. Some say they would either reconsider their support (16 percent) or withdraw it (four percent.) Similar polls followed Trump’s defeat in New York courts over supposed real estate fraud.

    And Biden knows it. A Biden campaign spokesman said Trump’s conviction showed “There is still only one way to keep Donald Trump out of the Oval Office: at the ballot box. Convicted felon or not, Trump will be the Republican nominee for president.”

    As in other Third World countries where the judiciary is used to smite political opponents, let us hope the people can see the truth, as they still hold the final card to be played. The Deep State has tried from day one to destroy Donald Trump — Russian collusion and dossier hoax, pee tape accusation, Mueller hearing and report, Emoluments Clause, various calls for extra-legal interventions and coups, Alfa Bank hoax, Impeachment I, Impeachment II, demands Mike Pence invoke the 25th Amendment, MSM blackout of Hunter Biden laptop story, Twitter purge of conservative accounts, FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago, Letitia James prosecution “show me the man, and I’ll show you the crime” with no victims, no monetary loss but an effort to bankrupt Trump with civil judgment, Colorado attempt to remove Trump from state ballots over the 14th Amendment, and false statements Trump will “take revenge,” “demand retribution,” ensure a “bloodbath,” and “end democracy” (America’s last election if he wins.)

    Trump meanwhile has characterized this trial, and the others, as unjust, rigged, lawfare pure and simple. He has kept the voters’ eyes not on who he is (his personal life has been baked-in to the vote long ago) but on what he represents to the electorate. As such, it is hard to see this guilty conviction, however unfair, as mattering too much come November.

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    Copyright © 2020. All rights reserved. The views expressed here are solely those of the author(s) in their private capacity.

  • Recent Comments

    • Rich Bauer said...

      1

      The Orange Turd is his own worst enemy. His voters didn’t care about his porn star affair. He got more votes in 2020. MAGGOTS understand the guy is a pig. Then he makes it worse. . Don’t blame the Deep State. The Orange Turd is trying to flush his life down the toilet.

      06/5/24 8:13 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      2

      “The Deep State has tried from day one to destroy Donald Trump.”

      If true, don’t you think Diapers would have been found unresponsive in bed with an underage girl already? And if he is sent to jail, how long before the DS gives him the Jeff Epstein treatment? Give him enough rope and …

      06/5/24 8:40 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      3

      Stormy Daniels a slut porn industry participant is clearly very stupid. She should have held out for a good discrete position in Trump’s second term-if there is to be one. Secretary of Special Coming (out) Events- everything connected with pride and conquering shame. Drag queens are big in the Philadelphia cultural scene today but not for the discerning class. Salary would be $160K per year and require maybe twenty hours of actual work over the year. The rest of her required services would be to visit Pride festivals around the world. Dumb slut!

      06/6/24 8:56 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      4

      I know this will come as a shock to the Trump Cult, but His Felonius has already lost the 2024 election. His Felonius, obviously on the payroll of George Soros, has done everything possible to damage the chances of the GOP. Name one thing His Felonius has accomplished to draw more independent voters. Piss off women voters. Check. Subvert the peaceful transition of government. Check. Openly solicit billion dollar bribes from the oil cartel. Check. His Felonius can’t run on his record of Trillion dollar deficits. Turned off “Bird Brain” Haley voters. If the Cult thinks His Felonius will convince independents at the debates, have they been watching his courthouse rants? The GOP’s only hope is His Felonius has a “medical issue” and his VP has enough time to reverse the fall.

      His Felonius said the FBI wanted to shoot him. But His Felonius shot himself on taking the Fifth.

      06/6/24 10:02 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      5

      Peter ponders the primary question: will lawfare defeat Trump on November 5. It may be sooner than you think, pal.

      Vermont’s Republican Party is in a tough spot. It has a rule which states under section 16: The state committee will not support or promote any candidate for elective office who is a convicted felon.

      Amazing that other states don’t state the obvious.

      06/7/24 5:06 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      6

      Donnie Diapers and Corrupt Clarence may be sucking in the MAGGOT cash, but the MAGGOTS don’t realize it is all going into a BLACK HOLE that will take them with it. A Soulless System that revolves around cash is bound to burn out eventually.

      06/8/24 6:56 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      7

      Vegas odds are Diapers will get three years probation. Of course, when the Orange Turd opens his big mouth and starts saying shit against the judge and jury he will be facing confinement either at home or in prison. Any confinement would not be executed until after all appeals. If Diapers loses the election, that will be the least of his concerns.

      06/8/24 7:42 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      8

      “As such, it is hard to see this guilty conviction, however unfair, as mattering too much come November.”

      Of course It is hard to see when you are lost in a cult. Only the willfully blind refuse to witness Donnie Diapers is mentally damaged and the last guy you would want in such an important position.

      Come November what will his cult do after hie loses again? That will be something to see.

      06/9/24 5:17 AM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      9

      Bauer- he might reject such a sentence and demand imprisonment. Probation would be the end of him. Prison would just about assure a victory. He may be in more control than you imagine and the judge may have less control over “the law” than she imagines. This is a fairly new America-mob rule. The surprise will be law enforcement siding with the mob.

      06/9/24 8:56 AM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      10

      JP,

      Even Diapers thinks he is losing bigly. He just reversed his position on mail-in voting, knowing he is losing in swing states such as Pennsylvania. If he shows for the debates is debatable.

      Here in America, voters usually prefer the guy they would want to have a beer. 1. Diapers doesn’t drink. 2. Voters would not trust sex pervert Diapers to be with their daughters.

      06/9/24 2:58 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      11

      MAGGOTS are now claiming that President Joe Biden either orchestrated or quietly sanctioned the criminal conviction of his own son by the United States Department of Justice as a ruse to add legitimacy to the purported political prosecutions of former President Donald Trump.

      Damn, even Third World countries aren’t this diabolical.

      06/11/24 2:58 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      12

      After the Hunter Biden trial, the GOP will now run as the party that favors Gun Control.

      Hunter was found guilty of two counts of lying about his drug use on a federal background check form, and the third count was for possessing a gun while addicted to, or using, illegal drugs.

      Half of Kentucky would be too.

      06/11/24 6:39 PM | Comment Link

    • John Poole said...

      13

      Bauer- you do realize that the gun charge had cross continent legs only because Hunter and his lawyers inserted some shady fine print regarding Hunter Biden’s income tax liability in his initial plea bargain but a savvy judge picked up on that sleazy tactic?

      06/12/24 3:17 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      14

      JP,

      We have a convict running for Presidense who said today the Biden crime family wants to cut his head off. If Diapers doesn’t make good on his promises to the Saudi headhunters, they will.

      The average MAGGOT has the attention span of a goldfish. A drug addict’s gun violation got lost in the 24-hour news cycle.

      06/12/24 8:17 PM | Comment Link

    • Rich Bauer said...

      15

      JP,

      Everyone is trying to make a buck. Can you fault Hunter for making bank off his connections? Look at MAGA from Diapers on down. Hell, even Peter is making a buck from his MAGA insider connections at AMCON. He is writing a tell-all book exposing MAGA as a follow-up to “We Meant Well.” The guy is going to get RICH.

      06/24/24 11:43 AM | Comment Link

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