Marco Rubio’s State Department will slash the number of U.S. offices in Africa processing visas for foreigners seeking to come to the United States. The almost 50 U.S. embassies and consulates that are currently processing visa applications will be reduced to 20 to take advantage of economies of scale. This will save taxpayer dollars maintaining offices and staff that mostly just refuse visas anyway, as well as likely slow the number of Africans who secure visas only to overstay in America. Donald Trump haters will call this racism. Supporters will call it saving taxpayer money.
The United States currently issues and refuses both immigrant and nonimmigrant visas at some 50 posts across Africa (out of 54 countries there.) Immigrant visas (IVs), also known as green cards, represent a relatively small amount of the business. The way immigrant visas are typically refused in Africa (officially called 221g) multiple times before finally being issued, sometimes years after the process started (as if your “Incomplete” in sophomore English Composition was still hanging over you years after graduation), the refusal rates appear artificially high and make for bad statistical comparisons. Also, the Donald Trump administration in January 2026 already suspended all immigrant visa processing for 26 African countries anyway, so these visas really are not of much concern here with this new development.
The nonimmigrant visas (NIVs) in Africa, mostly tourist visas, are overwhelmingly refused. To avoid complaints, the State Department closely holds actual refusal numbers per post. However, State is required to release refusal statistics by nationality, and that tells the tale. Some of the highest rates in Africa are Liberians 78.2 percent, Somalis 77 percent, Burundis 65.5 percent, and Beninese 61.5 percent, and Chadians 58.6 percent. And those numbers are pre-Trump II. In comparison, the historical refusal rates for most European countries were so low (below three percent) that the U.S. used that in part to give up even requiring visas from them years ago.
It is hard to say what the point of maintaining a visa office in a far-flung part of Africa is just to say “no” over and over again. State’s standard reply has to do with maintaining good relations with the host country (questionable on the face when there are so many refusals and immigrant visa processing is shut down completely). This also hints at an answer to why the U.S. has so many embassies and consulates in countries that arguably have little to do. Much of this network was established during the Cold War, when Washington viewed newly independent African states as key battlegrounds in its global competition with the Soviet Union. As African countries gained independence, both the United States and the USSR sought political influence, military access, and votes in international organizations. Establishing embassies also allowed the Americans to monitor Soviet activities and USAID contractors of varying sobriety and propriety. Although the Cold War ended in 1991, the diplomatic infrastructure remained in place as State resisted moves toward regional “hub” embassies brought about by the “peace dividend.” State currently still seeks to justify the mass of embassies, claiming they are there to counter the usurious Chinese Belt and Road Initiative without really explaining how they do that. Movie nights?
No need to worry, however, about the small percentage of Africans who might have succeeded in obtaining nonimmigrant visas in their home countries. Some 20 U.S. visas posts will remain open, and the applicants can apply there. The “closed” visa posts will still assist American Citizens and process special national interest visa cases and diplomatic applications. As for the rest, few African capitals have direct flights to the U.S. mainland anyway, so many travelers can apply enroute. Applicants must travel internationally to reach the United States anyway, so requiring some of them to travel to regional visa hubs is not an unreasonable burden. It’s an old system anyway; during my time processing visas in London, the embassy reserved a number of appointments for Iranian citizens, who would fly in on a weekly Swiss Air flight, get their visa, and head off to New York even as the U.S. maintained no diplomatic relations with Tehran.
There are two main reasons to shut down these African visa posts. Refusal rates are high enough to question maintaining separate processing facilities in every country. Maintaining an American diplomat overseas to process visas is expensive. He needs government housing, an office, a local staff, administrative support, security escorts, transportation, language training, education allowances for children, hardship and danger pay, and more (some of which albeit are fixed costs even if personnel headcount decreases), plus the actual sunk costs of his salary, benefits, and pension. There is no single official figure because costs vary widely by country, rank, and family size.
However, a report by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) found the State Department spent about $3.1 billion on pay, benefits, and allowances for roughly 9,000 U.S. direct-hire employees serving overseas in FY 2023. That works out to an average of about $344,000 per overseas employee per year. An earlier 2006 GAO study estimated the cost of placing a U.S. Foreign Service officer overseas at approximately $400,000 annually. None of this even tries to calculate the lost cost of having that expensively-trained diplomat spend his time saying no to visas in Monrovia when he could be working on much more critical issues in Beijing.
The other reason to shut down these visa issuing posts is because it will likely slow down the number of visas issued to African travelers and thus the number of visa overstays in the U.S. Because the U.S. does not comprehensively track overstays, there is no single, reliable headcount. However, the best source is the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Entry/Exit Overstay Report, which calculates overstay rates by nationality for visitors admitted as business or tourist travelers. It shows overstays for Africans ranged from a high of 49 percent for Chadians, to five percent for Ghana. Keep in mind this rate is not the percentage of a country’s citizens living illegally in the United States (no one knows that number because the census cannot by law ask about citizenship status). It is the percentage of a specific year’s visitor admissions that DHS could not confirm departed on time. Considering over 20,000 tourist visas are issued per year most every year just for Ghanaians, even five percent overstay by them represents a large and ever-growing number of actual people.
So what do we call the shutdown of visa posts in Africa? A good start.
Copyright © 2024. All rights reserved. The views expressed here are solely those of the author(s) in their private capacity.
Rich Bauer said...
1Peter worries about saving pennies while the Trump regime crushes the taxpayers with trillions in new debt.
07/7/26 8:29 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
2If Peter is now SO CONCERNED about the budget, then maybe Marge has a solution:
“So Trump is back to bombing Iran during the ceasefire for the Iran war that is not a war because Iran bombed a vessel for crossing the Strait of Hormuz that they don’t control yet apparently control.
Not sure how they bombed the vessel because we have totally and completely obliterated their military and beat them in the war that is not a war like 40 times now.
I’m so glad that Trump ran for president to end forever foreign wars otherwise I might start thinking this war that is not a war that we won like 40 times is starting to turn into another forever foreign war in the Middle East.
Good thing Pete Hegseth, Secretary of the Department of Defense, I mean War, is headed to Israel to take orders from, I mean ask for advice, on how to totally wipe out Iran, I mean bring peace.
I’m totally sure no one in the executive branch or donors will do any sort of insider trading based on super duper secret military decisions.
You know the kind based on intelligence that Congress is going to fuse with Israel’s military after they all vote to pass the National Defense (war) Authorization Act.
Because this is exactly what we all voted for when we said Make America Great Again.”
This is how far MAGA has turned its back on Demented.
07/8/26 7:25 AM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
3So the ceasefire ceased to be. Demented is in dire straits. Iran is squeezing the nut’s nuts. The Pentagon’s missile shelves are bare. It will take a year to restock them. Demented actually made a truthful statement: To me I think it is over.
07/8/26 6:11 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
4The Dead Iran Ceasefire MOU
MAGA: I wish to complain about this Iran ceasefire MOU that not a week ago Vance agreed…
TRUMP: Oh yes, the, uh, the Iran MOU…What’s,uh…What’s wrong with it?
MAGA: I’ll tell you what’s wrong with it. ‘E’s dead, that’s what’s wrong with it! Missiles are flying and Gas prices are soaring.
TRUMP: No, no, ‘e’s uh,…the MOU is resting.
MAGA: Look, I know a dead ceasefire when I see one, and I’m looking at one right now.
TRUMP: No, no the MOU IS not dead, It’s restin’! Remarkable, the MOU is a Big Beautiful deal.
MAGA: The big beautiful deal don’t enter into it. It’s stone dead.
TRUMP: Nononono, no, no! ‘E’s resting!
MAGA: All right then, if it’s restin’, wake it up! ‘ GET JD off his couch.
TRUMP: There, the ceasefire just started again. The missiles stopped-
.
MAGA: No, they didn’t. You just censored the news.
TRUMP: I never!!
MAGA: Yes, you did!
TRUMP: I never, never did anything-
MAGA: Turn on Fox News. (Turns the tv to Fox News. Shows the US bases burning.
MAGA: Now that’s what I call a dead MOU.
TRUMP: No, no…..No, the IRAN MOU IS stunned!
MAGA: STUNNED?!?
TRUMP: Yeah! THE IRAN MOU stuns easily.
MAGA Um…now look…now look, mate, I’ve definitely ‘ad enough of this. That MOU is definitely deceased, and you assured me that its total lack of movement was due to IRAN was completely obliterated.
TRUMP: Well, it’s ah…probably pining for the fjords.
MAGA: PININ’ for the FJORDS?!?!?!? What kind of talk is that?, look, why did the war start just as you said it ended?
Trump: No no! ‘E’s pining!
MAGA: ‘E’s not pinin’! ‘E’s passed on! This MOU is no more! IT has ceased to be! ‘E’s expired and gone to meet ‘is maker! ‘E’s a stiff! Bereft of life, ‘e rests in peace! If you hadn’t sent Vance to the talks the MOU ‘ now ‘istory! ‘E’s off the twig! ‘E’s kicked the bucket, ‘e’s shuffled off ‘is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin’ choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-MOU!
TRUMP: Do out want to see the plans for the big beautiful ballroom?
07/9/26 9:41 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
5Demented is in a terrible fix. After the Dems win the House in November, the old fool faces endless investigations for his corruption. Demented would like to avoid that and resign so he could live off his grift, but then Iran would have a free shot at the Dead Prezidunce. He can’t fly around on his Qatar grift jet, as it lacks security to avoid an attack drone. Even Maralongo ain’t safe. He is PNG in NYC. THE ONLY DECISION TO STAY ALIVE IS TO ACCEPT A PRISON SENTENCE AND DIE IN HIS CELL WITH HEADUPHIS ASS.
07/10/26 9:30 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
6Demented knows Prez Newsom wont give a rats ass when Iran targets his fat ass for killing those 160 little Iranian girls.
07/10/26 9:49 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
7Adolf Hitler murdered 6,000,000 Jews.
Trump: Hold my beer.
1000 Missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with thousands of more to immediately follow, should the Iranian Government act on its threat, pronounced in many corners of the Globe, to assassinate, or attempt to assassinate, the sitting President of the United States of America, in this case, ME! Orders have already been given, and the U.S. Military is ready, willing, and able, for a one year period of time, subject to extension, to completely decimate and destroy
all areas of Iran – PRAISE BE TO ALLAH! President DONALD J.
TRUMP
07/11/26 10:52 AM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
8MAGA Deep State conspiracy about Lady Graham’s “sudden unexpected death” is something worth investigating. The MIC doesn’t like the Iran quagmire LG got it into. If it can take out JFK, what chance would a lowly senator have? If Demented was worried about Iran…
07/12/26 7:26 AM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
9Graham’s Inferno
2015 (On Trump running for president): “He’s not a conservative. He’s a nut job. He’s a race-baiting, xenophobic, religious bigot.”
2021 (Post-Jan. 6, on breaking with the president): “Trump and I, we’ve had a hell of a journey. I hate it to end this way… All I can say is count me out. Enough is enough.”
2023 (Praising Trump’s influence): “Mr. President, you’re not far behind God.”
Two-faced Trump-critic Lady Graham supported the illegal Iran War, which resulted in thousands of deaths, including 150 little Iranian girls. While LG may think he was destined for eternal life…
The darkest places in hell are reserved for those who maintain their neutrality in times of moral crisis.” — Dante Alighieri
07/12/26 10:57 PM | Comment Link
Rich Bauer said...
10Don Dementia is bombing Iran AGAIN AND expecting a different result. They say voting for this war criminal IS THE DEFINITION OF INSANITY. They pretty much describes MAGA.
07/14/26 10:46 AM | Comment Link